Autonomous cars are not anticipated to begin hitting the road until 2020, but a new study predicts that once they’re here, they will quickly become a common sight. Come 2035, nearly 54 million autonomous vehicles will be in consumers’ driveways worldwide and annual sales of the vehicles will reach almost 12 million, according to the study by IHS Automotive. After 2050, the study predicts that nearly all of the vehicles in use -- both personal and commercial -- will be self-driving. A future based on driverless cars could mean big changes to the way cities are shaped. Given that there are plenty of things wrong with our relationship to cars today, it’s tempting to fantasize about how much better things would be be once self-driving vehicles become the normal. “U.S. history shows that anytime you make driving easier, there seems to be this inexhaustible desire to live further from things,” said Ken Laberteaux, the senior principal scientist for Toyota’s North American team. It has been said though human-driven cars will still crash into autonomous vehicles, “as the market share of SDCs on the highway grows, overall accident rates will decline steadily. Luxury nameplates like Acura, Mercedes-Benz, Infiniti, Lincoln, Audi and BMW currently offer radar-based cruise control and lane-keeping assist, two early components of autonomous driving.When true SDCs start hitting luxury-vehicle dealer lots between 2020 and 2025, IHS forecasts the features will add $7,000 to $10,000 to purchase prices. By 2030, this premium will drop to around $1,000 for entry-level cars. Legal issues surrounding self-driving cars will also need to be addressed. Michigan recently became only the fourth state in the U.S. to allow the testing of self-driving cars, behind California, Nevada and Florida. Yet each of these states requires that a licensed, capable driver be ready to take control of the vehicle at any moment. When the time comes will you be driving a autonomous vehicle or sticking to the old school way of driving?
Wednesday, September 10, 2014
Autonomous Cars The Future
Autonomous cars are not anticipated to begin hitting the road until 2020, but a new study predicts that once they’re here, they will quickly become a common sight. Come 2035, nearly 54 million autonomous vehicles will be in consumers’ driveways worldwide and annual sales of the vehicles will reach almost 12 million, according to the study by IHS Automotive. After 2050, the study predicts that nearly all of the vehicles in use -- both personal and commercial -- will be self-driving. A future based on driverless cars could mean big changes to the way cities are shaped. Given that there are plenty of things wrong with our relationship to cars today, it’s tempting to fantasize about how much better things would be be once self-driving vehicles become the normal. “U.S. history shows that anytime you make driving easier, there seems to be this inexhaustible desire to live further from things,” said Ken Laberteaux, the senior principal scientist for Toyota’s North American team. It has been said though human-driven cars will still crash into autonomous vehicles, “as the market share of SDCs on the highway grows, overall accident rates will decline steadily. Luxury nameplates like Acura, Mercedes-Benz, Infiniti, Lincoln, Audi and BMW currently offer radar-based cruise control and lane-keeping assist, two early components of autonomous driving.When true SDCs start hitting luxury-vehicle dealer lots between 2020 and 2025, IHS forecasts the features will add $7,000 to $10,000 to purchase prices. By 2030, this premium will drop to around $1,000 for entry-level cars. Legal issues surrounding self-driving cars will also need to be addressed. Michigan recently became only the fourth state in the U.S. to allow the testing of self-driving cars, behind California, Nevada and Florida. Yet each of these states requires that a licensed, capable driver be ready to take control of the vehicle at any moment. When the time comes will you be driving a autonomous vehicle or sticking to the old school way of driving?
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